Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Fantasy Football Twitter Reactions – Week 2


Each week I will be walking through the Twitterverse extracting some of the best commentary from trusted fantasy football minds and delivering to the general public.  Twitter can be overwhelming with the amount of information that streams live, but it also proves to be one of the fastest and easiest ways to communicate.  In 140 characters or less you can learn something about a player you would have never thought to analyze.  Trends, stats, analysis and simple suggestions pour out weekly after the NFL action is completed and below are some of the highlights to consider when hitting the waiver wire or seeking trades to win your fantasy championships.

Pierre Garcon, Redskins – As John Paulsen (@4for4_John) pointed out, “Garcon has 15-207-1 through two weeks and is showing no ill-effects from injury. Will continue to thrive, especially with way D is playing.”  Getting 12 targets a game and defense that will force the passing game late, Garcon makes a great trade target as a high-end No. 2 WR.

Alfred Morris, Redskins – John (@4for4_John) followed up his tweet on Garcon stating, “Speaking of the WAS D, it's limiting Alfred Morris's upside. He averaged 20.9 carries last season and now has 25 total through two weeks.”  Morris is not the Redskins 3rd down back and when the team gets behind his upside gets limited quickly. 

Texans RBs – Rotoworld’s Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) offered this stat on the Texans running game after 2 weeks, “Arian Foster is averaging 3.67 YPC on his 37 carries this season. Ben Tate is averaging 8.33 YPC on his 18 carries.”  While Foster still got the majority of touches after Kubiak stated he wanted closer to 50/50 split, Tate should begin to get more if he keeps this spread in production up.

Eddie Royal, Chargers – Looking for the biggest regression candidate in fantasy?  As Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) tweeted, “Eddie Royal offensive TDs 2009-2012: 5. Eddie Royal offensive TDs 2013 Weeks 1 & 2: 5.”  Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) also offered this insight, “Only one of Eddie Royal's 5 scores came on an endzone target. Caught the others at the 3, 6, 9, and 18 yard lines.”  I would be trying to sell Royal for top dollar if you own him as the TDs will not continue to pour in for this guy. 

Lamar Miller, Dolphins – A horrendous week 1 left a sour taste in fantasy owner’s mouths.  Evan Silva (@evansilva) tweeted the following after Sunday, “Dolphins committed 16 touches to Lamar Miller & found a run game in Wk 2. Imagine that. LM ran downhill with zip. Expect more work ahead.”  Miller may just turn into the RB everyone expected and Thomas should fall back towards more of a backup role.  You also may still be able to acquire Miller relatively cheap so test the waters.

Adrian Peterson, Vikings – After a week 1 performance bolstered by 3 TDs, AP quickly looked to be earning his #1 overall draft selection.  Ryan Boser (@Ryan_Boser) offered the following stats and analysis that should provide pause to Peterson owners, “AP has rushed for 115 yards on 43 carries (under 2.7 YPC) since his season-opening 78-yd TD. Why = Ponder + OL + Felton suspension.”  AP overcame stacked boxes and Ponder last season, but 2,500 yards does not appear to be in the cards for the Viking RB in 2013.

Marlon Brown, Ravens – Brown is likely on your waiver wire and someone people still might not know at this point.  As Chris Wesseling (@ChrisWesseling) points out though, “Marlon Brown is the first player in Ravens history with a TD in each of his first two games.”  Torrey Smith will continue to draw the most coverage and Brown will get his looks. 

Eric Decker, Broncos – A poor week 1 might have sent Decker to the bench, but as Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) stated, “A week after being the odd man out, Eric Decker led Broncos in targets (13), receptions (9) & rec yards (87). Manning will find open man.”  Not sure you can bench any of the receiving options in Denver unless you are really deep.  This may cause some down weeks, but Manning does a great job of spreading the ball around and getting his guys involved. 

David Wilson, Giants – Some recent tweets on the Giants RB: From Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh), “David Wilson still has negative fantasy points on the season, making him something like RB190.”  From RyFo18 (@RyFo18), “As long as the #Giants are getting blown out, the longer David Wilson is gonna suck. Won't sniff the field if playing catch up.”  From Juan Elway (@JuanElway), “Coughlin is kidding himself if he thinks the running game will get going w/o Wilson getting touches.  Eli needs a running game-7 INT already.”  Wilson is struggling and his is not even clearly defined in this offense, but Jacobs and Scott are not the answers.  You can likely buy Wilson for waiver priority or some FAB dollars at this point so why not buy as low as possible and hope he becomes the stud many were expecting.

2013 Fantasy QBs – Practically everyone is a fantasy starting QB these days as Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) tweeted, “16 QBs averaging over 20 pts a game in 4 pt pass TD/pt per 20 pass yd format.  And that doesn't include Romo/Brady/Wilson/Newton.”  Denny Carter (@CDCarter13) also shared, “QB stats that jump off the page: Bradford has thrown 96 passes. Eli has 812 pass yards. Tannehill has completed 70% of his 73 passes.”  We are only 2 weeks into the season and the cream may rise to the top, but drafting your QBs early may be a losing strategy while streaming them may be the way to go.  Look for 2 QB leagues to become more commonplace moving forward as the league continues it aerial assault.

Kendall Wright, Titans – Not that you want to necessarily own any of the Titans passing game, but as Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) offered, “32% of Jake Locker's throws have been directed at Kendall Wright so far. You didn't notice because of all the running.”  Britt was bench for a part of week 2 for mistakes and being lazy leaving Wright as the most consistent WR on this team.  The Titans pound the ball a lot so anything more than a WR3 should not be expected. 

Mark Ingram, Saints - JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) offered this simple stat on Ingram, “Mark Ingram through two games: 17 carries, 31 yards.”  If you are holding onto him, don’t.  Also realize though that Sproles remains your only bet for RB production in this offense.

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