Your question: Am I really already
looking at Average Draft Position six months out from actual live drafts for
the 2013 season?
My question: Are you really already
interested to know where players are being drafted six months out from actual
live drafts for the 2013 season?
Maybe we can all agree we have a
problem and move on. Of course with the
NFL draft still more than two months away we do not have much to talk
about. A couple days ago fantasy experts
on Twitter went around and around on what it would take to get Percy Harvin
from the Vikings and what team could benefit from his services. Every team could benefit and while he is
worth a 1st round pick, a couple of 3rd round picks seems
more likely (Miami received the same from the Bears when they gave up
Marshall).
While there is not much mock draft
data to draw from, Jim Day (@Fantasytaz)
has been setting up PFF Draftmasters at www.myfantasyleague.com
and I of course have been participating like many others. The basic scoring is 4 points per passing TD,
6 points for rushing/receiving and 1 point per reception. Currently only one draftmaster has been
completed, but the first five are already 40 plus picks deep so I started
there. I will likely continue to update
their progress in the coming days so check back. Below are the current average top 40 picks
with ADP’s as well.
Quick Notes:
1. Adrian Peterson is the consensus
first pick in 2013
2. Arian Foster was the second pick in
each draft except when Spiller was chosen ahead of him once.
3. Calvin Johnson is the first WR off the
board with an ADP of 5.2. A.J. Green is
the clear number two WR and being selected at the end of the first round with
an ADP of 10.4
4. There are six RBs with an ADP between
6 and 7 and they all appear to be pretty interchangeable at this point with
each having instances of being drafted a couple spots before or after 6th
overall.
5. Stevan Ridley will be an interesting
case as he was drafted 12th overall twice and 21st in
another two draftmasters.
6. Rob Gronkowski is the first TE off
the board again this season with an ADP of 17.
Graham is still the second best option about six picks later.
7. David Wilson was drafted as early as
13th overall in one league and as high as 27th in
another. He will likely be much debated
throughout the offseason until we get more clarity on his expected workload and
situation.
8. Aaron Rodgers was the first QB
selected, but with an ADP of 24.2. This is news that will make JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) jump for joy as
drafting your QB in the first round does not appear to be a winning strategy
with the current depth at the position.
You can read more from JJ on Quarterbacks and Fantasy Value here.
9. Ryan Mathews still likely remains the
RB everyone will discount up and down, but when seeing his name still available
will jump all over. His current ADP is
37.8, but was selected as high as 29th overall in one
draftmaster. If you want to fully
appreciate the year Mathews had in 2012 I suggest this quick read from
Rotoworld’s Patrick Daugherty (@RotoPat),
What
Went Wrong: Ryan Mathews.
| Selection | ADP | Overall |
| Peterson, Adrian MIN RB | 1 | 1 |
| Foster, Arian HOU RB | 2.2 | 2 |
| Johnson, Calvin DET WR | 5.2 | 3 |
| Spiller, C.J. BUF RB | 6 | 4 |
| Richardson, Trent CLE RB | 6.2 | 5 |
| Martin, Doug TBB RB | 6.4 | 6 |
| McCoy, LeSean PHI RB | 6.6 | 7 |
| Rice, Ray BAL RB | 6.6 | 8 |
| Lynch, Marshawn SEA RB | 7 | 9 |
| Charles, Jamaal KCC RB | 9.2 | 10 |
| Green, A.J. CIN WR | 10.4 | 11 |
| Morris, Alfred WAS RB | 13.2 | 12 |
| Jones, Julio ATL WR | 15.2 | 13 |
| Forte, Matt CHI RB | 15.8 | 14 |
| Johnson, Chris TEN RB | 16.4 | 15 |
| Ridley, Stevan NEP RB | 16.4 | 16 |
| Marshall, Brandon CHI WR | 16.6 | 17 |
| Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE | 17 | 18 |
| Murray, DeMarco DAL RB | 20 | 19 |
| Bryant, Dez DAL WR | 20.4 | 20 |
| Wilson, David NYG RB | 22 | 21 |
| Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR | 22.4 | 22 |
| Graham, Jimmy NOS TE | 23.2 | 23 |
| Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB | 24.2 | 24 |
| Johnson, Andre HOU WR | 26 | 25 |
| Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB | 26.4 | 26 |
| McFadden, Darren OAK RB | 27.4 | 27 |
| Harvin, Percy MIN WR | 27.6 | 28 |
| Sproles, Darren NOS RB | 30.4 | 29 |
| Gore, Frank SFO RB | 32.6 | 30 |
| Crabtree, Michael SFO WR | 33.8 | 31 |
| Cobb, Randall GBP WR | 34 | 32 |
| Cruz, Victor NYG WR | 34.6 | 33 |
| Brees, Drew NOS QB | 35 | 34 |
| Jackson, Vincent TBB WR | 36.75 | 35 |
| White, Roddy ATL WR | 37.4 | 36 |
| Mathews, Ryan SDC RB | 37.8 | 37 |
| Nicks, Hakeem NYG WR | 38.6 | 38 |
| Decker, Eric DEN WR | 40 | 39 |
| Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR | 40 | 40 |
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