Continued thanks to Jim Day (@Fantasytaz) for
lining up DraftMasters at www.myfantasyleague.com, as they are the basis for my data
to date. Other sites such as Fantasy Football Calculator
are solid sources for ADP data later in the season, but now most drafts on
their site are filled with computer selections.
I now am aggregating results from 9
different drafts and the basic scoring is 4 points per passing TD, 6 points for
rushing/receiving and 1 point per reception.
The sample size is small but still enough to get an early read on where
the fantasy community values certain players.
I will continue to update the progress of the DraftMasters in the coming days so check
back often. Below are the current top 50
picks with ADP’s.
Quick Notes:
1. Adrian Peterson is the consensus
first pick in 2013 going 1st in all 9 drafts
2. Arian Foster was the second pick in
each draft except when Spiller was chosen ahead of him one time.
3. Calvin Johnson remains first WR off
the board with an ADP of 5.9, but was taken as late as 9th in one
league. A.J. Green is the clear number
two WR and being selected at the end of the first round with an ADP of 11.7.
4. Doug Martin has taken over the “who’s
next?” position as the 3rd running back off the board. Trent Richardson previously was the #3 and I am
sure we will continue to see this change in the coming weeks and months.
5. Rob Gronkowski remains the 1st
TE taken in drafts with an average ADP of 17.7, though Jimmy Graham was
selected before the fun-loving Gronk in one draft.
6. Stevan Ridley’s ADP has fallen 9
spots to 21.7 after being drafts as high as 12th in two early
drafts, but no higher than 24th in the last four.
7.
A
quarterback was finally taken in the 1st round as Aaron Rodgers was
selected 12th overall in a recent DraftMaster. Rodgers continues to be the first QB
selected, but his ADP of 22.4 still suggests last season’s strategy of build on
your stud QB is likely to not be repeated.
8.
An
overall strategy of RB RB is looking solid early on seeing that after pick 36
(end of the 3rd round) the next available RBs are usually Ryan
Mathews, Lamar Miller, Stevan Jackson and Mikel Leshoure.
Selection
|
ADP
|
Overall
|
Peterson, Adrian MIN RB
|
1.0
|
1
|
Foster, Arian HOU RB
|
2.1
|
2
|
Martin, Doug TBB RB
|
5.7
|
3
|
Johnson, Calvin DET WR
|
5.9
|
4
|
Richardson, Trent CLE RB
|
6.0
|
5
|
Rice, Ray BAL RB
|
6.0
|
6
|
Spiller, C.J. BUF RB
|
6.2
|
7
|
McCoy, LeSean PHI RB
|
6.9
|
8
|
Lynch, Marshawn SEA RB
|
7.1
|
9
|
Charles, Jamaal KCC RB
|
8.9
|
10
|
Green, A.J. CIN WR
|
11.7
|
11
|
Morris, Alfred WAS RB
|
12.4
|
12
|
Forte, Matt CHI RB
|
16.0
|
13
|
Jones, Julio ATL WR
|
16.2
|
14
|
Johnson, Chris TEN RB
|
16.6
|
15
|
Marshall, Brandon CHI WR
|
16.9
|
16
|
Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
|
17.7
|
17
|
Bryant, Dez DAL WR
|
19.4
|
18
|
Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR
|
19.9
|
19
|
Graham, Jimmy NOS TE
|
21.1
|
20
|
Ridley, Stevan NEP RB
|
21.7
|
21
|
Murray, DeMarco DAL RB
|
21.9
|
22
|
Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
|
22.4
|
23
|
Wilson, David NYG RB
|
23.3
|
24
|
Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB
|
25.2
|
25
|
McFadden, Darren OAK RB
|
26.9
|
26
|
Johnson, Andre HOU WR
|
27.0
|
27
|
Harvin, Percy MIN WR
|
29.4
|
28
|
Brees, Drew NOS QB
|
31.1
|
29
|
Cruz, Victor NYG WR
|
32.3
|
30
|
Sproles, Darren NOS RB
|
32.3
|
31
|
Gore, Frank SFO RB
|
34.0
|
32
|
Cobb, Randall GBP WR
|
35.0
|
33
|
Crabtree, Michael SFO WR
|
35.0
|
34
|
White, Roddy ATL WR
|
36.0
|
35
|
Jackson, Vincent TBB WR
|
38.7
|
36
|
Hernandez, Aaron NEP TE
|
38.7
|
37
|
Mathews, Ryan SDC RB
|
39.2
|
38
|
Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR
|
39.9
|
39
|
Nicks, Hakeem NYG WR
|
40.2
|
40
|
Decker, Eric DEN WR
|
40.6
|
41
|
Newton, Cam CAR QB
|
43.4
|
42
|
Brady, Tom NEP QB
|
45.8
|
43
|
Welker, Wes NEP WR
|
45.9
|
44
|
Miller, Lamar MIA RB
|
46.8
|
45
|
Wayne, Reggie IND WR
|
47.2
|
46
|
Jackson, Steven STL RB
|
48.6
|
47
|
Nelson, Jordy GBP WR
|
49.3
|
48
|
Garcon, Pierre WAS WR
|
49.8
|
49
|
Witten, Jason DAL TE
|
49.8
|
50
|
