Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Fantasy Football Twitter Reactions – Week 8


Each week I have been walking through the Twitterverse extracting some of the best commentary from trusted fantasy football minds and delivering to the general public.  Twitter can be overwhelming with the amount of information that streams live, but it also proves to be one of the fastest and easiest ways to communicate.  In 140 characters or less you can learn something about a player you would have never thought to analyze.  Trends, stats, analysis and simple suggestions pour out weekly after the NFL action is completed and below are some of the highlights to consider when hitting the waiver wire or seeking trades to win your fantasy championships. 

Jonathan Stewart, Panthers – Stewart was one of most talked about players on Monday.  Chris Wesseling (@ChrisWesseling) stated, “Although Jonathan Stewart rushed for just 42 yards, @PFF tells us 29 came after contact and he forced 3 missed tackles. I'm still buying.”  On the other side of the coin Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) commented, “The schedule is mediocre for Stewart w/4 worse than average matchups ahead. I'd personally sell on the buzz.  Situation just not good for JStew & I'm not buying the RB1 upside despite increased "featured" workload. Also, no stranger to injury report.”  With DeAngelo, Tolbert and Cam still in the mix and the team struggling I tend to lean more towards Josh’s side.  If you own him I would hold, but I also would not overpay for him in a trade. 

Calvin Johnson, Lions – Calvin has been a fantasy “disappointment” this season, but Dave Richard (@daverichard) points out “Calvin Johnson has as many catches thru 7 gms this season (41) as he had last yr. Also has just 41 fewer yds. Don't look at the TDs though.”  16 TDs were unlikely this year, but only 1 in 7 games is too low.  Buy now before the touchdowns pick back up.
Jonathan Dwyer, Steelers – Dwyer has done well with injuries to Mendenhall and Redman.  Chris Wesseling (@ChrisWesseling) details just how well when stating, “Jonathan Dwyer has accomplished something in 2 starts that Mendenhall hasn't done in 5 years with #Steelers: back-to-back 100-yard games.”  Dwyer likely deserves to remain the starter, but this could become a backfield to avoid in the coming weeks. 
Jermichael Finley, Packers – “It's also quite obvious Rodgers has no faith in Finley at this point. If he can't get targeted when Jennings/Nelson both out, it's hopeless.”  Tom Kessenich (@TomKessenich) summed up the tight end pretty well and there is no reason to be starting Finley in fantasy football.
Shonn Greene, Jets – Allie Fontana (@AllieFontana) provided this interesting note on the Jet’s rusher, “Amid the #Jets embarrassing 30-9 loss to the #Dolphins, Shonn Greene posted 106 combo yds, incl. 77 rushing on 15 carries (5.13 YPC).”  Greene has a Bye and the Seattle the next two weeks, but the remaining schedule plays out pretty nice.  Buying low today could provide solid RB2 or Flex down the stretch.
Josh Gordon, Browns – Gordon may finally be taking on the #1 WR role in Cleveland as Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) points out, “Josh Gordon played more snaps and ran more routes than Greg Little yesterday.”
Denarius Moore, Raiders – Evan Silva (@evansilva) reminded us that “Not enough ppl talk about Denarius Moore. Has at least 70 yds and/or TD in 5 straight gms. #Raiders best player right now & every-week WR2.”  Could be an easy trade target, particularly in multiple player deals.
Dez Bryant, Cowboys – Another WR observation from Rotoworld’s Evan Silva (@evansilva), “Recommended early-season buy-low Dez Bryant has 95+ yds in 3 of last 4 gms. On pace for 94 catches; would be most by #Cowboys WR since 1995.”
Reggie Bush, Dolphins – Bush may prove to no longer be a weekly start as Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) breaks down the Dolphins RB situation, “Reggie Bush has rushed for over 70 yards exactly once this season, in W2. Daniel Thomas out-touched him 16-15 Sunday.”
Kenny Britt, Titans – Mike Bradue (@BraudeM) may be raining on the Britt parade a little with this tweet, “Wouldn't advise starting Britt till he breaks out. Played just 39 of 62 Titans offensive snaps and now concerns about knee are arrising.”  Heed his advice and stash Britt for the short term.
Alex Green, Packers – Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) notes why Green should no longer be closer to your starting lineups with this statistical breakdown, “Alex Green rushed 64 times in last 3 weeks. He's generated 154 yards, a 2.40 YPC avg. How is he still the feature back?”  It sounds as though Starks should get more looks, but the Green Bay RBs should be avoided all together.
Stevan Ridley, Patriots – Ridley is fantasy’s #4 RB and Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) highlights how his schedule might be worth one or two more starts and then a trade before the fantasy playoffs.  “Stevan Ridley has had at least 15 carries every week except W3. Two money matchups after the BYE (BUF IND) but HOU & SF W14-15.”
 

All of the above information and tweets came across the News page of my website, Fantasy Football Aggregator. Twitter can be overwhelming for most, but the FFGator News feeds take out much of the noise and provides the ability to search on specific players as well. News from top sources and fantasy football analysts are aggregated in one place, so if you enjoyed the above breakdowns, check out the site for even more. If you are on Twitter I also suggest following all of the above for great fantasy football analysis and commentary.

Follow Luke Wetta on Twitter @FFGator or at Fantasy Football Aggregator

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Fantasy Football Twitter Reactions – Week 7

The fantasy football season is already seven weeks old and hopefully your championship aspirations are still alive. Thousands of words of fantasy analysis are published daily for the avid fans’ enjoyment. You can find many of the best in one spot on the Analysis tab at FFGator.com. But for many like myself who like to digest short bursts of information and analysis in 140 characters or less, Twitter is the perfect medium.

Below is a compilation of some of the best stats, analysis and fantasy suggestions from the day after the games. Don’t simply let the box scores influence your fantasy maneuvers on a weekly basis and look to gain an edge on your competition from top fantasy football minds.

Darren McFadden, Raiders – McFadden continues to be a disappointment this season as Steve Corkran (@CorkOnTheNFL) illustrates, “Jaguars allowed 4.7 yards rushing per carry first five games. Darren McFadden went for 2.8 Sunday.” Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) showed an interesting player comparison when he tweeted, “Chris Johnson YTD stats: 110-496-2 (4.51 YPC) + 17-110-0. McFadden YTD stats: 103-324-2 (3.15 YPC) + 25-167-0.” Would you trade McFadden for Chris Johnson today?

Dustin Keller, Jets – Keller missed the beginning of the season due to injuries but looks to be healthy enough for fantasy relevance on a weekly basis. Chad Parson (@PFF_ChadParsons) commented, “Dustin Keller, intriguing add. Finally healthy, could be no.1, or no.2 at worst target on #Jets. 6 gms vs. 20th+ ranked pass defense ROS.” Week 7’s output of 93 yards and a TD is more likely a ceiling, but could do worse during your bye weeks.

Josh Gordon, Browns – Gordon has been on fire the last 3 weeks and Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) noted, “Josh Gordon led Browns’ wide receivers in snaps yesterday and ran all 43 possible routes.”

Cam Newton, Panthers – Cam is currently the 13th QB in standard scoring leagues and was taking a little heat after his teams’ most recent loss. John Paulsen (@4for4_John) tweeted, “There’s a reason why “sophomore slump” is a thing” and Rumford Johnny (@RumfordJohnny) also joked (maybe not) that “Cam Newton needs to go see the hypnotist from “Office Space.” #ComeBackToUsBruh.” Cam has already had his bye and plays the Bears this week. If you can get him for cents on the dollar I would make the move because the potential is still there for huge weeks.

LaRod Stephens-Howling, Cardinals – LSH looked to be the clear lead back in Arizona as Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) pointed out, “Only 10 snaps for William Powell to 55 for LSH. Touches 5 to 25. Clearly LSH the RB1 when fully healthy, which he appears to be.” Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) also commented, “Stephens-Howling didn’t run small vs MIN like he did vs BUF – leg drive, breaking tackles. ARI run blocking also vastly improved.” If you can’t grab Jennings off of the waiver wire this week, Stephens-Howling is likely your next best option.

Rams RBs – Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) broke down the Rams’ running back situation tweeting, “In the last four games, Steven Jackson is averaging 16.0 touches. Daryl Richardson is averaging 10.2 touches,” a two-thirds vs. one-third split. On Sunday that was a little more close to even as Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) noted, “35:24 snap edge for Steven Jackson over Daryl Richardson yesterday.” This backfield is here to stay and counting on Steven Jackson as a weekly start is no longer an option.

Steven Ridley, Patriots – Ridley has been a top 10 back this season but Evan Silva (@evansilva) might have some useful knowledge to consider moving forward, “Stevan Ridley had 2 slow weeks in a row. Current owners already sweat his usage. Good buy-low target. Has STL, BUF, IND, NYJ lined up next.”

James Jones, Packers – Jones could not keep up his pace of multiple touchdowns per week, but Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) highlighted he was still actively involved during week 7. “James Jones led the #Packers in targets (6-53-0 on 10 targets), but failed to find the end zone after recording 6 TDs in his last 3 games.” The Packers spread the ball around, but Jones can still be a flex-worthy option even once Jennings returns.

Chicago Bears Defense – Brad Evans (@YahooNoise) delivered this tweet about fantasy’s MVP, “Fun Fact about CHI D/ST: Currently average 13.0 fpts/game. Previous high of any team since 2000, BAL’06 (8.8). True Monsters of the Midway.” Drafted as the 7th defense overall and currently 9th in total fantasy scoring, the Bears are likely delivering weekly W’s for fantasy teams across the nation.

Alex Green, Packers – The following breakdown on Green came from Chet Gresham’s (@Chet_G) weekly column, The Morning After, “Rushing 20 times for 35 yards is an amazing stat for its complete ineptitude. You can’t say he wasn’t given enough chances or that the Rams have impenetrable run defense. One game doesn’t make a career of course, but we could see more James Starks in the future.”

Titus Young, Lions – A fantasy disappointment year to date, Titus Young will be a waiver wire target this week as Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) noted, “With Nate Burleson (leg) done for the season, Titus Young will be an every-down wideout and see an uptick in targets.”

All of the above information and tweets came across the News page of my website, Fantasy Football Aggregator. Twitter can be overwhelming for most, but the FFGator News feeds take out much of the noise and provides the ability to search on specific players as well. News from top sources and fantasy football analysts are aggregated in one place, so if you enjoyed the above breakdowns, check out the site for even more. If you are on Twitter I also suggest following all of the above for great fantasy football analysis and commentary.

Follow Luke Wetta on Twitter @FFGator or at Fantasy Football Aggregator

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Fantasy Football Twitter Reactions - Week 6

Each week I enjoy the overflow of stats, analysis and information that Twitter provides from top fantasy football analysts. Now that we are six games through the season, trends, targets and touches begin to really take shape on what a player’s worth is this season. Sometimes opportunity and talent does not lead to certain fantasy gold, while one fluke play can make a player the hottest waiver wire addition. Unfortunately I do not have time to watch and re-watch every game to break down and analyze the play on the field, so I look to get my information from those who do.

Below is a compilation of some of the best stats, analysis and fantasy suggestions from the day after the games. Don’t simply let the box scores influence your fantasy maneuvers on a weekly basis and look to gain an edge on your competition from top fantasy football minds.

Frank Gore, 49ers – Gore is currently in the top 10 of fantasy RBs. Josh More (@4for4_Josh) offered this insight into Gore, “Frank Gore with a season low 8 carries. Previous low was 12. Two tough matchups (Seattle, Cardinals) before the BYE.” I was not a fan of Gore before the season and he has performed well to date, but owners might want to look to trade this week.

Alfred Morris, Redskins – Brad Evans (@YahooNoise) had two tweets yesterday to highlight the season Morris is having for the Skins. “Safe to assume Al Morris has entered matchup proof territory. Ranks #5 in per game among RBs. The Butler’s worst effort 16-89-0 WK2 at StL.” “Crazy fact about Morris: He’s on pace for 1,434 rush yards and 13 TDs, almost identical to what Earl Campbell tallied in his rookie year.”

Cowboys RBs – Murray is out for week 7 leaving Felix as the likely starter and best waiver add this week. Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) commented the following on the RB situation in Dallas, “Murray ran hot in 1st half and the #ravens were very timid tackling him. Tanner looked faster/stronger than Jones, don’t forget about him.” If you can’t grab Felix, Phillip Tanner is a name to remember as Felix has shown he cannot hold down a starting gig.

AJ Green, Bengals – Mike Braude (@BraudeM) sent out this trend for Green, “AJ Green is on pace for 114.7 catches for 1675.2 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns.” Calvin who? Seriously Green is on fire and I have witnessed trade proposals of Dez and Mathews for Green.

Colts RBs – The situation in Indy was unclear after week 6 as Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) pointed out. “Vick Ballard and Mewelde Moore each handled 29 snaps yesterday. Only six for Delone Carter.” The Colts got down early and Ballard might have been used more in a closer game, but not sure you can trust any RB until this shakes out more clearly.

Percy Harvin, Vikings – I pulled this trend from Chet Gresham’s (@Chet_G) “The Morning After” column on Rotoworld (which should be a weekly read for everyone). “Harvin is on pace for 130 receptions, 1,440 yards and 2.6 touchdowns!” Harvin is elite and the touchdowns should come through receiving, rushing or returning.

Kyle Rudolph, Vikings – Another line from Chet Gresham’s (@Chet_G) “The Morning After” column on Rudolph, “11 targets, his most of the season, for six receptions, 56 yards and a touchdown. That was his fifth touchdown on the year, which puts him atop all tight ends.” Rudolph was a pre-season favorite and living up to the hype this season.

Denarius Moore, Raiders – Moore is barely in the top 40 at the WR position through 6 weeks, but he missed week 1 and already had his bye. Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) stated “DHB played most snaps of any WR (50) but no receptions. Denarius Moore benefited with a coming out party – 5-104-1 on 9 targets. I really like Denarius Moore moving forward as Raiders offense continues to improve & create space, Moore healthy, Torrey Smith-ish upside.” Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) followed up saying, “Denarius Moore will be a #1 receiver in the NFL if he holds up physically. Deep ball tracking is flawless and showed good open field running.” Moore could be an easy trade target in your leagues that could continue to offer solid performances like we saw in week 6.

Greg Olsen, Panthers – John Paulsen (@4for4_John) tweeted the following, “G. Olsen comes out of bye with 3 straight matchups against teams that have struggled vs TEs.” Olsen could be a solid addition as other top tight ends enter bye weeks.

Jordy Nelson, Packers – Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) tweeted this and got a laugh from me, “Mike Ditka: “I don’t know how good Jordy Nelson is.” #UnacceptableQuotes.” Jordy was on the bench in two of my leagues this week. If you can somehow convince his owner this was a fluke week and trade for him, do so immediately.

Rams RBs – More great commentary from Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) and why you need to cut bait from Steven Jackson and possibly all Rams moving forward, “Steven Jackson and Daryl Richardson split #Rams rushing work. SITUATION TO AVOID! 5 top 6 Ds vs RBs in next 8 weeks.”

All of the above information and tweets came across the News page of my website, Fantasy Football Aggregator. Twitter can be overwhelming for most, but the FFGator News feeds take out much of the noise and provides the ability to search on specific players as well. News from top sources and fantasy football analysts are aggregated in one place, so if you enjoyed the above breakdowns, check out the site for even more. If you are on Twitter I also suggest following all of the above for great fantasy football analysis and commentary.

Follow Luke Wetta on Twitter @FFGator or at Fantasy Football Aggregator

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Fantasy Football Twitter Reactions – Week 4

One quarter of the season has been played and there is still plenty of time to make up or lose ground in your fantasy leagues. Staying up to date with the trends, touches and targets of your rosters, or even your opponents, is important to constantly improve your weekly lineups. Each week I have been highlighting the interesting comments, facts and analysis that Twitter brings. You might not always have the time to read ten fantasy football articles a day, so hopefully this one will catch you up on everything you should know but likely do not.

Simply looking at the box scores on Monday and Tuesday can be dangerous to evaluate the performance of fantasy players. The below Twitter comments highlight trends, targets, general information and analysis from the past week of action and sometimes simply offer a suggestion from top fantasy football minds today.


Ahmad Bradshaw, Giants – Bradshaw’s absence the previous weeks opened the door for Andre Brown. Everyone was interested to see how the workload would be split in week 4. Ralph Vacchiano (@RVacchianoNYDN) offered this breakdown, “How serious are the Giants about a 1-2 RB punch? Ahmad Bradshaw was in on 58 plays last night. Andre Brown was in for 9.” John Paulsen (@4for4_John) also commented, “Ahmad Bradshaw 16 touches for 77 yards. Andre Brown six touches for 18 yards.” At this point Brown looks more of a handcuff than a weekly contributor.

Fred Jackson & C.J. Spiller, Bills – Another workload split fantasy owners were wondering about in week 4 was commented on by Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) Monday, “Fred Jackson only played 5 more snaps than CJ Spiller yesterday. Tashard Choice (3 snaps) was a non-factor.” Unlike what we saw with the Giants, this appears to be an even split capping each other’s fantasy upside.

Darren McFadden, Raiders – McFadden was a preseason favorite but he and the Raiders offense have yet to get going. Evan Silva (@evansilva) provided the following insight, “McFadden had ample in-space opps. Losing juice? Often ran hesitant & out of bounds a LOT. Either uncomfortable or not same RB.”

Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) presented a slightly different thought process on DMC, “Darren McFadden came into this season averaging 4.75 YPC for his career. He’s at 3.52 through four weeks this year.” Still believe he will pick up momentum and a worried owner could be ready to move on.

Andre Johnson, Texans – No one doubts AJ’s skills, but Josh Moore (@4for4_Josh) tweeted the following, “Andre Johnson had 2 catches on first 2 passes of game. 1 in the remainder.” Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) also commented, “Here’s your ongoing issue with Andre Johnson – Led the Texans in pass routes yesterday…with 23.” With the Texans run offense and top defense the opportunities are not going to be there for Johnson week after week.

Michael Turner, Falcons – Mostly everyone predicted Turner to deliver a big game against the Panthers. Chad Parsons (@PFF_ChadParsons) summed up what most analysts and experts will tell you with this, “If you didn’t watch the #Panthers #Falcons game, you might think Michael Turner was back to his former level. Wrong. Mostly horrid tackling.” Turner is another RB you might want to look to shop before goal line chances from the 1 and 60 yard receptions do not continue to present themselves.

Arian Foster, Texans – John McClain (@McClain_on_NFL) tweeted, “Arian Foster is on a pace for 412 carries, 1,520 yards, 20 touchdowns and 36 receptions.” Workload is obviously the concern, but Kubiak came out yesterday and even said Foster can handle 400+ carries. Fantasy owners should enjoy and pray for health.

Roddy White & Julio Jones, Falcons – John Paulsen (@4for4_John) pointed out the following in regards to the Atlanta receivers, “Roddy White out-targeting Julio Jones by 26% right now (38 to 31). Good time to buy low on Julio.”

Mikel Leshoure, Lions – Chad Parsons (@PFF_ChadParsons) provided this quick insight on Leshoure, “Mikel Leshoure offering a good buying opportunity after a ho-hum game this week. Skills/situation still there. Get him for less than W3 now.”

DeSean Jackson, Eagles – Jeff McLane (@Jeff_McLane) offered this quick tweet on Monday, “DeSean Jackson dropped 9 of 67 “catchable” passes thrown his direction last year. Hasn’t dropped one of 20 catchable throws this season.” Jackson’s focus seems to be back this season and currently sits just inside the top 20 for WRs.

Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs – John Paulsen (@4for4_John) observes, “Dwayne Bowe (7-108-1) figures to score a lot of points in garbage time this year.” The good thing about Fantasy is that we don’t care when they score and the Chiefs will likely be playing catch up most weeks.

Ryan Williams, Cardinals – Williams was the favorite waiver wire pickup heading into week 4. After 13 carries for 26 yards, most new owners are probably already looking to drop him. Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) offered this note though, “ARI never committed to run, but Williams looked fine to me early, good balance, breaking tackles, tight spin move… not bailing on him.” The Dolphins are tough and the backfield belongs to Williams.

Chris Johnson, Titans – Michael Salfino (@MichaelSalfino) offered this tweet and likely trade you could make today, “I’ll take Cj2k over Doug Martin. CJ has established his NFL talent level. Martin still 100% projection.”

Shonn Greene, Jets – Prior to the season I suggested that you not draft any Jets on your fantasy rosters. Each week this is becoming more apparent and Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) made that even more clear stating, “Shonn Greene played only 18 Week 4 snaps. Bilal Powell was in on 32 plays. Zero for Joe McKnight.” This team is a mitigated mess right now and no one is worth rostering at this point.


All of the above information and tweets came across the News page of my website, Fantasy Football Aggregator. Twitter can be overwhelming for most, but the FFGator News feeds take out much of the noise and provides the ability to search on specific players as well. News from top sources and fantasy football analysts are aggregated in one place, so if you enjoyed the above breakdowns, check out the site for even more. If you are on Twitter I also suggest following all of the above for great fantasy football analysis and commentary.

Follow Luke Wetta on Twitter @FFGator

Friday, August 24, 2012

Fantasy Football Aggregator Introduces MyFFGator Twitter Aggregation Tool


An important part of staying competitive in fantasy football is staying up to date with breaking player news.  Twitter has emerged as the fastest and most efficient source of player news today.  MyFFGator capitalizes on the up to the minute player news updates, while reducing the “noise” and volume of information and specifically tying news to an individual’s fantasy football rosters.
 

MyFFGator aggregates the top fantasy football analysts including Chris Mortensen, John Clayton, Evan Silva, Jay Glazer and more in one place.  All Twitter “noise” such as replies to specific individuals or re-tweets are automatically removed.  Advanced key word searches are used to categorize tweets such as injuries, contract disputes and even legal troubles allowing users to search for more specific player information.  Additionally, MyFFGator is able to identify the multiple short-hand player descriptions commonly used within the 140 character messages like CJ2K, AP, Megatron, MJD, DHB or Run DMC and correctly match them to players.  This ensures that all twitter messages regarding fantasy football players are delivered and nothing is lost.  Finally, MyFFGator streams real-time for users meaning the second a tweet is sent by an analyst it appears on the site.
 

Sunday mornings are the most difficult time to determine whether players are starting or sitting.  MyFFGator alleviates the need to surf multiple channels on TV or numerous websites looking for player updates.  Last season when Marshawn Lynch was scratched minutes before kickoff most fantasy owners were left unaware.  MyFFGator knew through their unique Twitter aggregation tool and saved anyone using the tool from an empty roster spot.
 

The best part of the tool is that it is completely free to sign up and use.  Load multiple fantasy rosters or simply track your favorite NFL players.  Fantasy Football Aggregator also recently optimized FFGator.com for mobile phones and tablets to track your teams wherever you are.
 

Sign up free now and stay ahead of your competition this season. http://www.ffgator.com/myffgator.php
 


 
 

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Fantasy Football 2012: The UnDraftables

Fantasy football drafts now come in many sizes, shapes and configurations.  Dynasty and keeper leagues favor savvy owners who can look beyond the now for players whose value will be sustainable for multiple seasons. Auctions are great because they offer each owner the ability to get any player. There are more complicated, convoluted, curious and down-right strange kind of drafts now than at any time in my many years playing fantasy football, but the most common form is still the re-draft, snake league.

Writers and analysts’ rankings, along with compiled average draft position data, tend to skew how a re-draft snake league plays out. Even the most novice of owners can grab the latest rankings and choose the next best available player and have a good team, but to consistently win in these formats, understanding players with huge risks or terrible team situations is very important. Being able to know when to avoid drafting players even when the rankings or ADP sheets tell you it is time to take them, is key to being a consistently winning fantasy owner.

So to make your fantasy football drafts easier, I have compiled a list of players that have already been scratched off my draft sheets. Not all of these players are going to be fantasy busts this year and some will likely even perform very well, but due to current circumstances and where they are being drafted today, they will not end up on any of my teams.

Maurice Jones-Drew, JAC – Currently his ADP is 12th overall and he is being taken in the first round of many drafts. MJD is still holding out from the Jaguars and reports state it might linger into the regular season. This situation is very similar to Chris Johnson’s last season, which did not end well for owners who drafted him with their first pick. The Jaguars still have Gabbert as their quarterback, on one of the league’s worst offenses and Jones-Drew does have a lot of mileage on those legs. Even when he does return, coach Mike Mularkey has hinted at Rashad Jennings taking a number of snaps to ease MJD back into the game.

Adrian Peterson, MINAP may be back at practice, but I am still not buying a full recovery and return to previous form. Many other drafters are, as Peterson’s current ADP stands at 13th overall, a jump of 12 spots in the last month. Gerhart has proven himself to be a capable back and I cannot see AP getting a full load of snaps during the first month of the season. For me he carries too much risk and not enough upside, for where you currently have to take him.

Larry Fitzgerald, ARI – Fitz is an amazing receiver and is still likely to finish among the top 5 at his position this season, but that still does not mean I will be taking him in the second round. His current ADP is 18th overall and he has been the 3rd WR off the board behind Megatron and Julio Jones. The quarterback situation is unsettled in Arizona and the top two RBs on the depth chart are coming off injuries or still dealing with them (hint, you may see one of them later), meaning Fitzgerald will still be priority #1 for defenses. There is just too much depth at WR this season and not nearly enough at running back to use a second round selection on Larry.

Andre Johnson, HOU – Andre has already missed time in camp with a groin strain, which is a precursor of things to come. AJ hasn’t been able to stay healthy over the last few seasons, and with one of the league’s best rushing attacks, he is not relied upon like other receivers. His current ADP puts him in the same category as Fitzgerald; in that I do not want to spend a late second, early third round pick on an injury risk when so many other options are available in the following two rounds.

Frank Gore, SF – The 49ers’ run game was 8th best last season and Gore had 1,200 yards and 8 TDs, while finishing as the 13th best RB in fantasy. The Niners began to limit Gore, particularly in the passing game, where he only caught 17 balls. He had averaged 51 receptions the previous 5 seasons.
Kendall Hunter has been receiving loads of praise this preseason and Harbaugh has voiced that he has the chance “for a really big year.” Add short yardage specialist Brandon Jacobs and rookie speedster LaMichael James to the mix, and there does not seem to be enough carries to go around. The receiving unit got much stronger as well with additions of Mario Manningham and Randy Moss, so I just do not see enough potential for Gore. With an ADP of 41 and drafted as a top 20 RB I will not be relying on him as a weekly starter in any format.

Shonn Greene, NYJ – Greene had just over 1,000 yards rushing and 6 TDs last season, though 3 of those came in one game against the Redskins. Tebow is in town and likely to steal a number of goal-line opportunities from Greene, as he did last year with McGahee, who managed only 1 TD inside the 10 yard line. Four of the first 5 games are also against top 6 rush defenses from last season and Sanchez may not even be the starter all season. This situation seems to be too much of a mess to even want to get involved with at an ADP of 60. If anything Greene might be a mid-season trade target that you can swipe for practically nothing as his schedule eases up.

Vernon Davis, SF – Davis was the 8th best TE in fantasy last season and is currently being drafted as the 6th taken, with an ADP of 71. I can actually agree with him as the 6th or 7th best TE, but it is where he is being drafted that I have a problem with. As mentioned above in regards to Gore, there are new additions to the passing game and despite Davis’ strong performances in the playoffs last season I do not see his value matching his ADP.
Taking a guy like Pettigrew, who finished just 6 points behind Davis in standard leagues last season, nearly 3 rounds later appears to be a much better option. You can even double up on hype guys like Jared Cook and Kyle Rudolph in the late rounds of the draft and likely return the same points without using an early round pick.

Redskins Running Backs – Hightower and Helu are on the mend, leaving Royster as the starter. None of this should worry you though, because Shanahan hates you and all fantasy football owners. If you enjoy migraines every Sunday morning than by all means draft away, but the running back position in Washington will always be both a mystery and a mess.

Carolina Running Backs – While Rivera might not despise fantasy football as much as Shanny, he sure has loaded up his backfield to cause fits for owners this season. Even if Cam wasn’t the ultimate goal-line vulture, Stewart, Williams and Tolbert would be trouble by themselves. Stewart has the highest ADP at 82, but unless there is an injury, I just don’t see how you can rely on any of these guys consistently. The Carolina backfield is just another reason why you might want to focus on getting your RB3 by the 7th round, with a guy like Hillis and take a late round shot on whoever is left.

Beanie Wells, ARI – Wells’ ADP has been slowly dropping, but he still stands at 74th overall. He recently returned to practice, but it has yet to be determined when he will play during the preseason. Last season he was solid overall, posting just over 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns, but he wore down incredibly as the season progressed. Wells accumulated nearly half of his total fantasy points during the first five games of the season and only scored 4 TDs over the last 10 games. If you removed one massive outing against the Rams in Week 12, he averaged less than 50 yards per game after week 6. Toss Ryan Williams into the mix and there is no way I can trust a guy who constantly wears the questionable tag with an 8th round selection and being drafted as a top 30 RB.

Follow Luke Wetta on Twitter @FFGator

Monday, August 20, 2012

FFGator Top Analysis Sources

Fantasy football is almost here and drafts are already being completed. Once you have selected your roster make sure to check out MyFFGator, our new player aggregation tool that offers you the quickest way to breaking news for players on multiple teams. For general news on everything in the world of fantasy football, the News tab offers headlines from top news outlets and fantasy analysts. But for the fantasy football enthusiasts who enjoy reading the multitude of analysis articles that are churned out on a daily basis, the Analysis tab is the place to be.
Normally you can find anywhere between 10 to 15 articles a day at FFGator.com from numerous websites. While we continue to aggregate from sources such as ESPN, Yahoo and CBS, some of the best content comes from sites that you might not have heard from. Fantasy Football Aggregator continues to build relationships with these sites to bring great content all in one place for your enjoyment. In addition to all the analysis these sites produce, they also offer much more for fantasy football owners so take a moment to check them out.
Dynasty League Football - DLF is the leading source for dynasty and keeper fantasy football analysis, rankings and community. With daily free and premium content, DLF will keep you ahead of the competition throughout the year. Seriously a great source if you are in dynasty leagues or are interested in starting one. Also follow @DLFootball on Twitter.
FantasyTaz.com - There is no offseason. Home of the future FantasyTaz FF hangout on Google+. Tons of experience in fantasy football and definitely check out their DraftMasters leagues. Follow @FantasyTaz on Twitter.
4for4.com - They have a ton of information, tools, analysis and cheat sheets. They’ve been around since 2000 and are known across the industry for their rankings accuracy. In other words, they put their money where they mouth is. Great site by one of the hardest workers in the business. Follow @4for4_Josh on Twitter for non-stop fantasy football information and more.
The Fake FootballThe Fake Football is where you will find fantasy football advice, rankings, analysis, statistics and a whole lot more. Join one of their Free Reader Leagues as well and follow a guy with over 73,000 tweets on every topic imaginable, including fantasy football, @Chet_G.
David Gonos - With a decade of online Fantasy Sports writing experience, former CBSSports.com Fantasy writer David Gonos brings his own peculiar sense of humor to his own site. Whether it's a the top 30 Fantasy Football rookies, a classic rock albums mock draft or a "From the Future" Fantasy Football Draft of 2014, you're sure to find something you like -- or raise an eyebrow at. Follow @davidgonos on Twitter as well.
Draft Calc - Bold and unconventional fantasy football rankings, projections, predictions, sleepers, breakouts, busts and more. Follow @draftcalc on Twitter
As users of our sites, please feel free to recommend any other websites you have enjoyed original fantasy football analysis as we continue to look to expand and improve our aggregated content.
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